Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 9

May 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
1 - 0
Antwerp

Zeqiri (28')
Cuesta (65'), El Ouahdi (78'), Mujaid (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Udoh (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Royal Antwerp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Genk
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Royal Antwerp

All competitions

Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Genk 1-1 Royal Antwerp

Genk recorded a 1-0 victory when these two teams locked horns last month, and we are expecting another tight match on Monday night. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we are backing a low-scoring draw at Cegeka Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Royal Antwerp
44.35% ( -0.31)	24.49% ( 0.11)	31.16% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.38)

44.64% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.37)

67.01% (

0.38)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

-0.29)

20.25% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

-0.47)

52.59% (

0.48)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.05)

27.23% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.07)

62.65% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Genk 44.35%

Royal Antwerp 31.16%

Draw 24.48%

Genk	Draw	Royal Antwerp
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.35%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.16%