Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
