Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.