Smolevichi

1 - 4

Torpedo-BelAZ

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Smolevichi had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Smolevichi win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.