Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Neman had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.