Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.