Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.