Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.