Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.46%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.

Result
Naftan	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
13.48% ( 0.82)	21.93% ( 0.78)	64.59% ( -1.59)

Both teams to score 41.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

-1.28)

53.9% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-1.08)

75.36% (

1.08)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.88% (

0.54)

50.12% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.26% (

0.37)

84.74% (

-0.37)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

-0.95)

16.08% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.54% (

-1.76)

45.46% (

1.77)

Score Analysis

Naftan 13.48%

Torpedo-BelAZ 64.58%

Draw 21.93%

Naftan	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.48%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.93%	0-1 @ 14.72% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 13.46% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.2% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 3.75% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.58%