Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Belshina	Draw	Naftan
39.35% ( 0.01)	25.04% ( 0)	35.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

-0.01)

45.94% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

-0.01)

68.25% (

0.01)

Belshina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84%

23.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

57.04% (

-0)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

-0.01)

25.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.01)

59.89% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Belshina 39.35%

Naftan 35.61%

Draw 25.04%

Belshina	Draw	Naftan
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.35%	1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.61%