Barcelona will be bidding to return to winning ways on Sunday afternoon when they head to Mestalla to take on Valencia in Spain's top flight.
The Catalan giants are currently fourth in La Liga, four points behind third-placed Real Betis, while Valencia occupy 12th position, eight points off the top six heading into the next set of fixtures.
Match preview
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Valencia looked capable of challenging for a European spot this season in the latter stages of 2021, but it would be fair to say that their performances and indeed results in 2022 have been disappointing.
Los Che are in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey, drawing 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao in the first leg of their last-four contest on February 10, but they are without a victory in the league since December 20.
Jose Bordalas's side have picked up just two points from their last six matches and will enter this contest off the back of a disappointing 2-1 defeat at struggling Alaves on February 13.
A total of 30 points from 24 matches has left them in 12th spot in the table, now eight points off the top six, so it is going to take a big effort in the final months of the campaign to put themselves in contention for a Europa League spot for next season.
Valencia's home form this term has been relatively disappointing, picking up just 18 points from 12 matches, while they have lost their last two matches against Barcelona, including a 3-1 reverse at Camp Nou earlier this season.
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Barcelona, meanwhile, needed a 96th-minute leveller from Luuk de Jong to claim a point against Espanyol last weekend, but they remain fourth in La Liga, boasting 39 points from 23 matches.
The Catalan giants are only four points behind third-placed Real Betis with a game in hand, while they have also played a match fewer than fifth-placed Atletico Madrid, with neither team able to launch a title challenge this term; indeed, Xavi's side are 15 points behind leaders Real Madrid heading into the next set of games.
Barcelona were in Europa League action on Thursday evening, playing out a 1-1 draw with Napoli in the first leg of their knockout round playoff, with Ferran Torres netting from the penalty spot in the 59th minute.
The Catalan side have had a difficult campaign for a number of reasons, but they are very much on course for a top-three finish in La Liga, and winning the Europa League would make it a relatively successful season, especially as they need Champions League football for next term to enjoy a strong summer transfer market.
Xavi's team only have the seventh-best away record in La Liga this term, winning just three of their 12 matches, which is a slight concern heading into this game, especially as they have only been victorious once at Mestalla in Spain's top flight since October 2016.
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Team News
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Valencia will again be missing Jasper Cillessen and Gabriel Paulista through injury, but the home side do not have any other fresh issues heading into the clash with Barcelona.
Head coach Bordalas is expected to make changes from the team that started against Alaves last time out, with Bryan Gil, Hugo Duro and Dimitri Foulquier all bidding to return to the first XI.
There is likely to be a spot in midfield for former Barcelona youngster Ilaix Moriba, while Carlos Soler and Goncalo Guedes will be certain starters for the home side at Mestalla.
As for Barcelona, Dani Alves and Gerard Pique will both miss the match through suspension, while Ronald Araujo, Clement Lenglet and Samuel Umtiti are out through injury, so the visitors have issues at the back.
Sergino Dest is likely to come into the side at right-back, while Oscar Mingueza could be pressed into action in the middle of the back four alongside Eric Garcia.
Memphis Depay, Sergi Roberto and Ansu Fati are also out through injury, but there will be a return for Sergio Busquets, who was named on the bench against Napoli, while Gavi might also come into the front three.
Ferran Torres is again likely to lead the line for the visitors with support from Adama Traore, meaning that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Nico Gonzalez could both drop down to the bench.
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Correia, Comert, Diakhaby, Gaya; Foulquier, Soler, Moriba, Gil; Guedes, Duro
Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Dest, Mingueza, E Garcia, Alba; F de Jong, Busquets, Pedri; Traore, Torres, Gavi
We say: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Barcelona have serious defensive problems heading into this match, but Valencia's recent form has been very disappointing, so it is very difficult to back the home side to triumph. Barcelona are actually unbeaten in their last eight away matches, and we are backing the visitors to secure all three points here.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
