Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Aug 1, 2022 at 11pm UK

Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
Arsenal

Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
58.61% ( 0.24)	23.64% ( -0.13)	17.74% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 46.04% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

0.31)

53.33% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

0.26)

74.88% (

-0.26)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

0.2)

17.95% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

0.34)

48.79% (

-0.34)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.11% (

0.04)

43.88% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.97% (

0.03)

80.03% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 58.6%

Arsenal Sarandi 17.74%

Draw 23.64%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.6%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 17.74%