Considering their excellent recent form and defensive record, Djurgardens should be a shoo-in for victory on Sunday, although the heat of the Stockholm derby makes his contest hard to predict. Hammarby have picked up some respectable results over the past two weeks and will be confident of earning something, but we feel that the Blue Stripes will win narrowly as they say goodbye to Bergvall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Djurgardens IF	Draw	Hammarby
59.61% ( -0.12)	22.28% ( -0.01)	18.11% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

0.25)

47.41% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

0.23)

69.62% (

-0.23)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.48% (

0.05)

15.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.57% (

0.09)

44.43% (

-0.09)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

0.3)

39.96% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

0.28)

76.61% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Djurgardens IF 59.6%

Hammarby 18.11%

Draw 22.28%

Djurgardens IF	Draw	Hammarby
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 59.6%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.28%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.11%