Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Morocco
3 - 0
Tanzania

Saiss (30'), Ounahi (77'), En-Nesyri (80')
Saiss (52'), Chibi (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mao (22'), Dismas (32'), M'Mombwa (61'), Hussein (90+6')
Dismas (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Tanzania

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Morocco have been in mixed form since their incredible World Cup campaign but did begin re-finding their rhythm in the lead-up to this competition with three consecutive wins while remaining unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions. They beat this opponent fairly convincingly just less than two months ago, and we fancy them to do likewise in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Tanzania
65.23% ( 1.27)	23.01% ( -0.5)	11.76% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 34.99% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.28% (

0.21)

60.73% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.21% (

0.16)

80.79% (

-0.15)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.54)

18.29% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

0.91)

49.36% (

-0.91)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.83% (

-1.2)

57.18% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.86% (

-0.68)

89.14% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Morocco 65.23%

Tanzania 11.76%

Draw 23.01%

Morocco	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 17.76% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.23%	0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.5% Total : 11.76%