AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2022 at 12pm UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Sydney FC1 - 1Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sydney FC and Hoang Anh Gia Lai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Last Game: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Team | Goals against | Avg per game | Clean Sheets | |
| 1 | Perth Glory | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
| 2 | Western Utd | 4 | 0.67 | 4 |
| 3 | Central Coast | 4 | 0.80 | 2 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1.00 | 2 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 6 | 1.20 | 2 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 6 | 1.50 | 1 |
| 10 | Victory | 7 | 1.17 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 1.60 | 1 |
| 12 | Wellington | 10 | 2.00 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Hoang Anh Gia Lai |
| 41.75% | 26.41% | 31.84% |
| Both teams to score 51.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
