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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Rotherham logo

Accrington
1 - 0
Rotherham

McConville (76')
Coyle (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (34')

Preview: Accrington Stanley vs. Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

League leaders Rotherham United will travel to the Crown Ground on Boxing Day in order to face Accrington Stanley as they aim to continue their five-match winning streak.

The hosts were able pick up three points in their most recent outing and they currently sit in the top half of the table as the squad continues to push towards the playoffs.


Match preview

Accrington Stanley manager John Coleman pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Accrington Stanley secured a victory in their most recent performance against Bolton Wanderers with Tommy Leigh scoring the only goal of the game in the first half.

The club are currently nine points away from the playoffs, which is a gap they will be hoping to close during this festive period of games if they can build a run together.

John Coleman's team have lost 10 games throughout the campaign, and there is only one team in the top half of the table that have been beaten as many times as them.

Their inconsistent performances have stopped them from climbing further up, with a lack of goals also being an issue as they have scored fewer than every other club in the top 12.

Despite that, Accrington were able to defeat Rotherham when they met earlier this season in the EFL Cup, with goals from Dion Charles and Colby Bishop securing the 2-1 victory.

Rotherham United's Chiedozie Ogbene celebrates after scoring their fifth goal on December 7, 2021© Reuters

The Millers have been dominant throughout this season as they look to earn promotion to the Championship, and they have only been beaten three times in the league.

Their most recent outing saw them defeat Cambridge United by a goal to nil as Dan Barlaser scored to keep his team top of the division.

There is only two points between them and Wigan Athletic right now and because the Latics have a game in hand, there is real pressure on Paul Warne's team to keep picking up results.

However, the Millers have not been beaten since September when they were defeated by Fleetwood Town and the confidence that is within the team is clear to see.

Their last six fixtures have led to them scoring 11 times, showcasing their attacking qualities, meanwhile defensively no team have conceded fewer than them this season.

Accrington Stanley League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Accrington Stanley form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Rotherham United League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Rotherham United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on April 27, 2021© Reuters

Club captain Seamus Conneely was unavailable for Accrington's last game due to injury, which could see him miss out again on Sunday.

However, Harry Pell should be back as an option as he only missed out against Bolton due to sickness, plus Matt Butcher was back in the squad for that game as well.

Wes Harding appeared on the bench in Rotherham's most recent match and after making his return to the squad, there is a good chance he will now be fit enough to return to the starting XI.

Mickel Miller was unavailable in that match though, due to a groin problem and that could lead to Will Grigg earning a spot this time around.

Accrington Stanley possible starting lineup:
Savin; Amankwah, Sykes, Nottingham, Rodgers; Malcolm, Leigh, Coyle, Hamilton, McConville; Bishop

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Wood, Ihiekwe, Harding; Barlaser, Ogbene, Ferguson, Rathbone, Wiles; Grigg, Ladapo


SM words green background

We say: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Rotherham United

This promises to be a closely-fought match on Boxing Day for the fans between two of the strongest teams in the league, with both having a lot to fight for.

However, the lack of goals that Accrington Stanley have scored this season is something that should lead to Rotherham United taking the victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:473717:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8960:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Accrington vs Rotherham

Accrington Stanley
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Rotherham United
66.7%
24
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Sunderland's Nathan Broadhead celebrates scoring their first goal against Wigan Athletic in the EFL Cup on September 21, 2021
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1Port Vale1610332416833
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3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
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11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
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