Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Honka had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.