Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Honka had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.