Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.