MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:30:20| >> :60:2613:2613:
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 8, 2023 at 9am UK
AAMI Park
Jamaica national football team

Colombia Women
1 - 0
Jamaica Women

Usme (51')
Alexandra Arias Rojas (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Swaby (41'), Spence (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Colombia Women and Jamaica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Women

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco Women 1-0 Colombia Women
Thursday, August 3 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Jamaica Women

All competitions
Last Game: Jamaica Women 0-0 Brazil Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 11am in Women's World Cup

We said: Colombia Women 2-1 Jamaica Women

 The two nations will view Tuesday's encounter as a great chance to reach the quarter-finals, and with the attacking quality of Catalina Usme, Mayra Ramirez and Caicedo in their ranks, we think that Colombia will find a way to unlock the Jamaica defence and claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica Women had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Jamaica Women win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia Women.

Result
Colombia WomenDrawJamaica Women
63.88% (0.275 0.27) 23% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 13.12% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 38.3% (-0.738 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (-0.585 -0.59)58.29% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (-0.459 -0.46)78.91% (0.462 0.46)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.114 -0.11)17.87% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.197 -0.2)48.64% (0.198 0.2)
Jamaica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63% (-0.832 -0.83)53.37% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.12% (-0.528 -0.53)86.88% (0.53 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Colombia Women 63.88%
    Jamaica Women 13.12%
    Draw 23%
Colombia WomenDrawJamaica Women
1-0 @ 16.42% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 14.14% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.12% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 63.88%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.54% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 13.12%

How you voted: 1st Group H vs 2nd Group F

1st Group H
69.5%
Draw
15.3%
2nd Group F
15.3%
59
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