Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
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