MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:20:03| >> :60:1996:1996:
Australia national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2023 at 11am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Nigeria national football team

Australia Women
2 - 3
Nigeria Women

van Egmond (45+1'), Kennedy (90+10')
Foord (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kanu (45+6'), Marvis Ohale (65'), Oshoala (72')
Alozie (21'), Oshoala (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's World Cup clash between Australia Women and Nigeria Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Australia Women 1-0 Ireland Women
Thursday, July 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: Australia Women 2-1 Nigeria Women

Nigeria showed in their tournament opener that they have the capability to compete with some of the best teams in the world, but we think that they will be edged out by an Australian side that will be spurred on by their home support. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 81.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 5.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.82%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Australia WomenDrawNigeria Women
81.13% (-0.104 -0.1) 13.75% (0.073 0.07) 5.11% (0.0299 0.03)
Both teams to score 32.73% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (-0.191 -0.19)45.52% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.181 -0.18)67.85% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)8.94% (0.069100000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.48% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)30.52% (0.17 0.17)
Nigeria Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.05% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)92.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 81.12%
    Nigeria Women 5.11%
    Draw 13.75%
Australia WomenDrawNigeria Women
2-0 @ 16.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 8.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 81.12%
1-1 @ 6.16% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 13.75%
0-1 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 5.11%

How you voted: Australia Women vs Nigeria Women

Australia Women
67.9%
Draw
7.1%
Nigeria Women
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Australia Women
2-0
Nigeria Women
Simon (29', 68')

Nwabuoku (42'), Chukwunonye (60')
rhs 2.0
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