Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 96.05%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Gibraltar Under-21s had a probability of 0.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.12%) and 2-0 (15.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.48%), while for a Gibraltar Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands Under-21s would win this match.
