Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland Under-21s win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.75%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.