Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.