MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 15:56:54| >> :120:7686:7686:
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Attendance: 59,902
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Lazio logo

1-1

Dzeko (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Acerbi (34')

Preview: Roma vs. Lazio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Rome derby between Roma and Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Roma welcome local rivals Lazio to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, with the away side looking to continue their impressive run of 11 Serie A wins in a row.

Lazio are now just six points adrift of table toppers Juventus with a game in hand, while Roma are a further seven points back in fourth.


Match Preview

Edin Dzeko in action for Roma on August 27, 2018© Reuters

Roma are enduring something of a disappointing campaign and, with just 20 rounds played, they are already out of the running for the Serie A title.

With two defeats from their last three matches, Roma have been vulnerable of late and have managed just five wins at home all season.

Injuries to key players have certainly played their role in recent weeks, with Roma having lost just twice in Serie A between August and December, but consecutive defeats on their return from the winter break have really damaged their hopes of securing Champions League football for next season.

A win would take them to within four points of Lazio, who sit third, but a defeat would leave them vulnerable to Atalanta and cut them further adrift from the pace setters.

Roma and Lazio drew in the reverse fixture in September, but the home side will face a very different Lazio side to the one that featured that day.

Simone Inzaghi's side are Serie A's form team and have won their past 11 league matches.

In total, they have scored 49 goals from just 19 league matches and Ciro Immobile has registered 23 goals from just 18 starts.

Having lost two of their opening five Serie A matches, they have not tasted defeat since and are the only team to have beaten Juve in the league this term.

A win against Roma would see Le Aquile keep pace with the league leaders, with Lazio also just two points behind second-placed Inter Milan.

Roma Serie A form: DWWLLW
Roma recent form (all competitions): WLLWWL

Lazio Serie A form: WWWWWW
Lazio recent form (all competitions): WWWWWL


Team News

Lazio winger Joaquin Correa in action in 2018-19© Reuters

Roma should be able to call on midfielders Brian Cristante and Javier Pastore for this match, with both players yet to appear for the club in 2020.

Winger Justin Kluivert remains a doubt, though, after he picked up a thigh injury against Juve in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday.

Davide Zappacosta, Amadou Diawara and Nicolo Zaniolo are all out though.

Joaquin Correa and Lucas Leiva should be fit to face Roma, with both players being monitored ahead of Sunday.

Danilo Cataldi and Ricardo Kishna will both miss the trip, although Kishna is closing in on a return.

Roma possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Santon, Mancini, Smalling, Spinazzola; Veretout, Cristante, Pellegrini; Under, Dzeko, Pastore

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Strakosha; Patric, Acerbi, Radu; Lazzari, Milinkovic-Savic, Leiva, Alberto, Lulic; Immobile, Correa


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Roma 1-2 Lazio

Lazio have been irresistible of late, scoring goals for fun and beating all teams in sight. With Roma going through a tricky spell, expect Lazio to compound Paulo Fonseca's issues with a third defeat since the start of the new year.



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Written by
Will Dodds

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%).


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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