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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Brentford logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Brentford

Roberts (27'), Bamford (90+5')
Roberts (29'), Harrison (75'), Klich (79'), Raphinha (85'), Bamford (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baptiste (54'), Canos (61')
Goode (45+2'), Canos (55'), Henry (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Brentford

There is still a lot of football to be played this season, but Sunday's clash at Elland Road is a very important match for both sides. It would not be a surprise to see an away win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that Bamford could return to inspire Leeds to a narrow victory over Frank's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrentford
45.05%26.01%28.94%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78%52.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04%56.97%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.17%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 45.05%
    Brentford 28.94%
    Draw 26.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brentford

Leeds United
71.6%
Draw
19.0%
Brentford
9.5%
211
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 21, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Leeds
1-0
Brentford
Nketiah (81')
Alioski (35'), Dallas (63')

Norgaard (39')
Apr 22, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 44
Brentford
2-0
Leeds
Maupay (45'), Canos (62')
Maupay (73'), Konsa (76'), Watkins (79')

Klich (77')
Oct 6, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Leeds
1-1
Brentford
Jansson (88')
Roberts (45'), Jansson (47'), Ayling (47'), Peacock-Farrell (61')
Ayling (94')
Maupay (62' pen.)
Mepham (66'), Odubajo (71')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Brentford
Cooper (31')
Anita (23'), Alioski (24')

Sawyers (45'), Woods (54'), Egan (73'), Barbet (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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