MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 00:35:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
Telford

Smith (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Southport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawAFC Telford United
57.38% (-0.103 -0.1) 24.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 18.55% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (-0.07 -0.07)53.84% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)75.31% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)18.6% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (-0.11 -0.11)49.89% (0.113 0.11)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.79% (0.032000000000004 0.03)43.21% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (0.026 0.03)79.47% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 57.36%
    AFC Telford United 18.55%
    Draw 24.07%
ChorleyDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Telford
3-0
Chorley
Streete (60'), Durrell (71'), Byrne (90+6')
Oswell (36')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton23143632181445
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2613673226645
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe24128439152444
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster23134636171943
5Brackley Town2312472819940
6Darlington2410953124739
7Buxton23122937271038
8Chorley2211563226638
9Hereford UnitedHereford2410773224837
10Alfreton TownAlfreton2310762924537
11Chester FCChester2310762924537
12South Shields25113114037336
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2471163329432
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports248792831-331
15SouthportSouthport248792733-631
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath247982930-130
17Leamington FCLeamington2385103026429
18Oxford CityOxford City2477103641-528
19Warrington Town2659122235-1324
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2573152646-2024
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2256112741-1421
22Marine AFC2456131631-1521
23Needham Market2446141739-2218
24Rushall Olympic2553172449-2518


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