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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Sutton United

Newport
3 - 2
Sutton

Collins (53'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Dolan (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ajiboye (24', 42')
Barden (72')
Eastmond (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newport County 1-2 Sutton United

 Both teams have been strong this season, which is why they are in the mix for a potential promotion from League Two, being in the top half of the table. There is a lot to play for in this game in regards to the playoff positions, but with Sutton United having had a stronger start to the season, they should be the favourites to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
45.32%26.36%28.31%
Both teams to score 50.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08%53.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63%75.37%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.32%
    Sutton United 28.31%
    Draw 26.36%
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Newport vs Sutton

Newport County
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Sutton United
46.2%
13
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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