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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
30.11%26.74%43.14%
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.11%
    Bristol Rovers 43.13%
    Draw 26.74%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.13%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

Carlisle United
33.3%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol Rovers
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Carlisle
Lines (48')
Campbell (39'), Sawyer (90'), Hughes (90')
Grella (87')
Berrett (30'), Taiwo (47'), Michalik (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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