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FA Cup
Maidstone United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
Stevenage

Maidstone
1 - 0
Stevenage

Corne (45+2' pen.)
Bone (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (14'), Thompson (42'), Freeman (48'), Piergianni (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Maidstone United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Maidstone United 1-2 Stevenage

 Maidstone's form in this season's FA Cup has been excellent, but this will be their biggest test of the campaign, and although we are predicting a close match, Stevenage should be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawStevenage
20.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.64% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)39.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (-0.012 -0.01)76.16% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 20.99%
    Stevenage 54.63%
    Draw 24.36%
Maidstone UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.99%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.33%
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.63%

How you voted: Maidstone vs Stevenage

Maidstone United
27.8%
Draw
27.8%
Stevenage
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Maidstone
2-1
Stevenage
Collin (2', 87')
Coyle (16'), Brown (90'), Parkinson (95')
Charles (47')
Barnard (16'), Deacon (62')
> Match Report
Nov 9, 2014 2pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-0
Maidstone
Rogers (23'), Parkinson (39'), Flisher (74')
rhs 2.0
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