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EFL Cup
Colchester United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Brentford logo

Colchester
0 - 2
Brentford


Dallison (46'), Kazeem (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewis-Potter (39'), Bech Sorensen (90+1')
Onyeka (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

Last Six:
Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Brentford

Last Six:
Last Game: Fulham 3-2 Brentford
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Brentford

 Should Brentford heavily rotate, Colchester will fancy their chances of causing another upset in this competition. However, the Bees have added to their squad well this summer and should have the firepower to edge past their League Two opponents, especially with Frank likely to have quality options to call upon from the substitutes' bench if required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
23.63% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)46.64% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.093 -0.09)68.91% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.107 -0.11)33.94% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.113 -0.11)70.62% (0.116 0.12)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)17.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)48.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 23.63%
    Brentford 52.63%
    Draw 23.72%
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.63%

How you voted: Colchester vs Brentford

Colchester United
16.7%
Draw
9.0%
Brentford
74.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Colchester
4-1
Brentford
Bean (29'), Wynter (32'), Sears (41' pen., 65')
Sears (62'), Gilbey (76')
Dallas (45')
Saville (70')
Oct 19, 2013 3pm
Brentford
3-1
Colchester
Trotta (76'), Saville (80'), Harris (87')
Dean (90')
Okuonghae (49')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Brentford
Wright (23')
Potts (79')
Thompson (10')
Dean (85'), Forshaw (12'), Trotta (4')
Douglas (18'), Adeyemi (34'), Lee (78')
Adeyemi (45')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Brentford
1-0
Colchester
El Alagui (88')
Saunders (37')
Feb 14, 2012 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Brentford
Gillespie (83', 85')
Duguid (56'), Wilson (60'), Rowlands (76')
McGinn (57')
rhs 2.0
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