Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Pereira would win this match.