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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

 There is little doubt which team heads into this clash in superior form, with Palmeiras seriously on a roll at the moment. The 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores champions will be highly motivated to retain their title once again, even if the hosts represent dangerous opposition on their day, especially with Cuca back at the helm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
45.03% (0.113 0.11) 25.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.157 -0.16)49.13% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.14 -0.14)71.2% (0.137 0.14)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.02% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.179 -0.18)30.53% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)66.75% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 45.02%
    Palmeiras 29.62%
    Draw 25.34%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
20.9%
Draw
16.3%
Palmeiras
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Menino (37')

Mariano (33'), Fernandez (37'), Otavio (70')
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Wesley (28'), Deyverson (57')
Rocha (18'), Menino (38'), Renan (39'), Deyverson (58')
Zaracho (36'), Hulk (61')
Costa (39'), Fernandez (45+4'), Alonso (54')
Sep 29, 2021 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')
Sep 22, 2021 1.30am
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Rafael (81')

Zaracho (23')
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Palmeiras
Savarino (45+4', 62')
Fernandez (51')

de Paula (15')
de Paula (36')
rhs 2.0
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