Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona1 - 2Rayo Vallecano
We said: Girona 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Girona are in good form and fully deserved their victory in the previous round of this competition, but beating a side with the experience and quality of Vallecano might be too much to ask of them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 40.01% | 27.92% | 32.08% |
| Both teams to score 47.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
