Changchun1 - 2Shandong
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 3 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Wuhan | 8 | -2 | 12 |
7 | Changchun Yatai | 8 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 8 | 1 | 11 |
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shandong Taishan | 8 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 8 | 9 | 17 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 6 | 17 |
We said: Changchun Yatai 0-2 Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan have hit the ground running in the new campaign and will be looking to establish themselves in the upper echelons of the table. Looking at past results between the sides, we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last seven outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
35.25% ( 0.33) | 27.51% ( 1.02) | 37.25% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 49.28% ( -3.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.6% ( -4.03) | 56.4% ( 4.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% ( -3.36) | 77.41% ( 3.36) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% ( -1.78) | 30.41% ( 1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% ( -2.17) | 66.62% ( 2.17) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( -2.7) | 29.18% ( 2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( -3.45) | 65.12% ( 3.46) |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 1.08) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.24% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 1.29) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.25% |
How you voted: Changchun vs Shandong
Shouting (44'), Guang (85'), Fan (90')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 30 | 66 | 78 |
2 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 77 |
3 | Chengdu RongchengChengdu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 59 |
4 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 35 | 30 | 56 |
5 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
7 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 38 |
8 | HenanHenan | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 32 |
10 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 32 |
11 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 29 |
13 | Sichuan JiuniuSichuan | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 29 |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 29 |
15 | Meizhou Hakka | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 27 |
16 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 22 |
> Chinese Super League Full Table |