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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Independiente

Union
3 - 0
Independiente

Domina (25'), Zenon (50')
Corvalan (20'), Zenon (66'), Vera (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (47'), Barcia (50'), Elizalde (54'), Sarrafiore (58')
Barcia (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Union 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, June 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 0-1 Independiente

 Buoyed by their victory over Sarmiento, Independiente will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. Zielinski's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given Union's current struggles at home, we predict that they will claim all three points at the Estadio 15 de Abril. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawIndependiente
43.07% (0.787 0.79) 30.96% (0.386 0.39) 25.97% (-1.171 -1.17)
Both teams to score 37.28% (-1.465 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.39% (-1.436 -1.44)69.61% (1.436 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.02% (-0.936 -0.94)86.99% (0.937 0.94)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)32.44% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.346 -0.35)68.96% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18% (-1.911 -1.91)44.83% (1.911 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (-1.575 -1.58)80.79% (1.576 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Union 43.07%
    Independiente 25.96%
    Draw 30.95%
UnionDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.37% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.329 0.33)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.095 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.07%
0-0 @ 14.54% (0.75 0.75)
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.95%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.96%

How you voted: Union vs Independiente

Union
26.7%
Draw
56.7%
Independiente
16.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 20
Union
0-1
Independiente
Romero (47')
Oct 26, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Independiente
1-0
Union
Pozzo (58')
Oct 30, 2019 10.10pm
Gameweek 11
Union
2-2
Independiente
Bou (89' pen.), Mazzola (95')
Acevedo (32'), Gomez (43'), Martinez (45'), Bou (74'), Mazzola (93')
Romero (25', 44')
Bustos (31'), Perez (39'), Benitez (51'), Silva (88')
Bustos (34')
Feb 9, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 18
Independiente
2-1
Union
Gomez (42' og.), Gaibor (75' pen.)
Bustos (20'), Franco (24'), Hernandez (91')
Pitton (18')
Martinez (32'), Acevedo (70'), Bottinelli (84'), Troyansky (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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