Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kitchee had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Kitchee win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.