World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Luxembourg
2 - 1
Azerbaijan

Pinto (8'), Rodrigues (28' pen.)
Martins Pereira (66'), Bohnert (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mahmudov (67')
Huseynov (27'), Ozobic (47'), Krivotsyuk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Luxembourg and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.37%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Azerbaijan
36.67%	22.17%	41.16%

Both teams to score 68.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.31%

31.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.8%

53.21%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84%

18.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85%

49.15%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73%

16.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18%

45.82%

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 36.67%

Azerbaijan 41.16%

Draw 22.17%

Luxembourg	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 7.09% 0-0 @ 2.96% 3-3 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 8.31% 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 4.87% 2-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.34% 3-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.67% Total : 41.16%