Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.