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Attendance: 25,141
West Brom logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Luton Town

2-0

Daniels (14' og.), Ajayi (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Luton Town: prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Title-chasing West Bromwich Albion host bottom-of-the-league Luton Town at the Hawthorns on Saturday in a bid to return to the top of the Championship table.

The Baggies have been in stuttering form of late but will see this fixture as an opportunity to build some momentum as they look to secure an automatic promotion spot.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion's Matheus Pereira celebrates scoring their second goal against Barnsley on October 22, 2019© Reuters

West Brom's title charge has faltered in recent weeks, with the Baggies winless in their last seven Championship fixtures, losing three.

Slaven Bilic's side now find themselves just two points ahead of third-placed Nottingham Forest, having previously held a much more significant lead on the chasing pack.

However, their exploits earlier in the season have given them enough of a cushion that they still remain in an excellent position to secure automatic promotion, and they will view this fixture against Luton as a possible turning point.

Having already beaten the newly-promoted outfit 2-1 earlier this season, Bilic will hope his side can do the double over Saturday's opponents and use the fixture to restore morale and build momentum.

West Brom still boast the fiercest attack in the Championship and are the only side to have netted more than 50 goals so far in the division.

Luton, meanwhile, are bottom of the league and have by far the worst defensive record in the league, conceding 63 times in just 29 games so far - nine more than second-bottom side Barnsley.

Graeme Jones' side were on a nine-game winless run across all competitions - losing eight of those fixtures - before finally earning themselves a 3-2 win against 10-man Derby County last time out.

Luton will be hoping to build on that result and capitalise on the Baggies' poor form to pull off a shock against West Brom.

West Bromwich Albion Championship form: DLDDLL
West Bromwich Albion form (all competitions): DWDLWL

Luton Town Championship form: DLLLLW
Luton Town form (all competitions): LLLLLW


Team News

Luton manager Graeme Jones pictured on January 1, 2020© Reuters

West Brom boss Bilic has more or less a full squad to choose from, with just one senior player out injured.

Left-back Kieran Gibbs is a regular on the treatment table and he is expected to be out once again with a hamstring problem.

Luton head coach Jones, on the other hand, has a few more absentees to deal with.

Matty Pearson and Brendan Galloway are both injured and are expected to miss the trip to the Hawthorns.

Martin Cranie and Danny Hylton are both back in training, but may not be risked in this one.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; O'Shea, Bartley, Ajayi, Ferguson; Livermore, Sawyers; Phillips, Krovinovic, Edwards; Robson-Kanu

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Daniels, Bradley, Potts; Ruddock, Rea, Tunnicliffe; Cornick, Collins, LuaLua


Sports Mole Logo

We say: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Luton Town

Despite West Brom's woeful league form, they should still have enough quality to beat the side propping up the table, although it may be a closer contest than perhaps it should.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 76.87%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for had a probability of 9.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.78%).


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Luton manager Graeme Jones pictured on January 1, 2020
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5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
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10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
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16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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