Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
46.62% ( 0.1)	26.09% ( -0.01)	27.28% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.01)

53.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-0.01)

74.96% (

0.01)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.04)

22.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

0.06)

56.65% (

-0.06)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

-0.08)

34.54% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73% (

-0.08)

71.26% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Racing de Montevideo 46.61%

Deportivo Maldonado 27.28%

Draw 26.09%

Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.61%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.28%