Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Mar 27, 2024 at 7pm UK

Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
4 - 2
Rampla

Lopez (21', 55'), Madruga (27' og.), Colman (50')
Silva (37'), Poiso (44'), Garcia (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Anasco (5'), Leites (65')
Anasco (15'), Rosa (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Rampla Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Rampla Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Rampla Juniors
41.9% ( 0.39)	27.96% ( 0.02)	30.13% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.93% (

-0.21)

59.07% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.47% (

-0.16)

79.53% (

0.16)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

0.12)

27.81% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

0.15)

63.39% (

-0.15)

Rampla Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

-0.42)

35.34% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

-0.44)

72.1% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Progreso 41.9%

Rampla Juniors 30.13%

Draw 27.96%

Progreso	Draw	Rampla Juniors
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.13%