Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.