European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 13, 2023 at 5pm UK

Portugal U19s
5 - 0
Norway U19s

Sa (4'), Felix (17' pen.), Ribeiro (31', 66'), Borges (69')
Felix (23'), Esteves (43'), Sa (55')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Solheim (44'), Odegard (54'), Roaldsoy (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship semi-final between Portugal Under-19s and Norway Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal U19s 2-1 Malta U19s
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

Norway Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U19s 0-0 Norway U19s
Monday, July 10 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-19s	3	6	7
2	Norway Under-19s	3	1	5
3	Iceland Under-19s	3	-1	2
4	Greece Under-19s	3	-6	1

We said: Portugal Under-19s 1-0 Norway Under-19s

Aside from their nine-goal epic against Greece, so far Norway have kept things tight at the back, and they could truly test Portugal's ability to carve open any side that stands in their way. Nonetheless, the Portuguese squad is more talented in most areas and has shown the mentality required to maximise their vast potential. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Norway Under-19s had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Norway Under-19s win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Norway Under-19s
72.49%	17.18%	10.33%

Both teams to score 46.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.21%

41.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81%

64.19%

Portugal Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.87%

10.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.68%

33.32%

Norway Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.01%

47.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.77%

83.22%

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-19s 72.49%

Norway Under-19s 10.33%

Draw 17.18%

Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Norway Under-19s
2-0 @ 12.74% 1-0 @ 11.13% 3-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.5% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.22% Total : 72.49%	1-1 @ 8.17% 0-0 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.18%	0-1 @ 3.57% 1-2 @ 3% 0-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.33%