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Tondela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Tondela
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Barbosa (63')
Undabarrena (38'), dos Anjos (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soares (67')
Estupinan (2'), Silva (22'), Semedo (70'), Almeida (77')

Preview: Tondela vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of reaching their first-ever Taca de Portugal final, Tondela welcome Vitoria de Guimaraes to the Estadio Joao Cardoso in round 31 of the Primeira Liga on Sunday.

Os Vimaranenses, meanwhile, head into the game on a two-match winning streak away from home and will be seeking a third consecutive away victory for the first time since last October.


Match preview

Tondela's Salvador Agra celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in August 2021© Reuters

Todela booked their place in the Taca de Liga final for the first time in their 89-year existence when they played out a 1-1 draw with Mafra in the second leg of their semi-final tie on Wednesday.

Having secured a commanding 3-0 victory in the reverse leg on March 3, Juan Manuel Boselli cancelled out Pedro Pacheco's first-half opener to force a share of the spoils and hand the CDT Auriverdes a 4-1 aggregate victory.

While Tondela have enjoyed a stellar cup run, they have struggled to get going in the league, where they risk dropping to the second tier as they currently sit 17th in the standings with 25 points from 30 games.

Nuno Campos's men are currently on a two-game losing streak in the Primeira Liga and have managed just one win from their last 10 outings, picking up five points from a possible 30.

Tondela's underwhelming league campaign has been owing to their struggles on home turf, where they have picked up just 14 points from 15 games, alongside their defensive frailties as they hold the division's worst record with 60 goals conceded.

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

Vitoria de Guimaraes, meanwhile, returned to winning ways in style when they saw off 10-man Pacos de Ferreira 4-0 at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques last time out.

In a one-sided affair, goals from Tiago Silva, Ruben Lameiras and brace Brazilian forward Bruno Duarte succumbed the visitors to their 12th league defeat of the season.

Prior to that, Pepa's men suffered a 1-0 loss at the hands of title-chasing Porto on April 10, when Mehdi Taremi converted his 36th-minute to hand Sergio Conceicao's side a hard-fought victory.

Vitoria de Guimaraes have won 12, drawn six and lost 12 of their 30 games this season to collect 42 points and sit sixth in the league standings, five points off Gil Vicente in the Conference League qualification spot.

Tondela Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Tondela form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Tondela players challenge for the all against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

Tondela will take to the pitch without Portuguese defender Jota Goncalves, who has been sidelined since last September through a knee injury.

Simone Muratore is also out of contention for the CDT Auriverdes after the Atalanta loanee picked up a severe injury back in October.

Vitoria de Guimaraes will have to make do with the absence of 21-year-old midfielder Tomas Handel, who came off injured in February's game against Belenenses.

With his brace against Pacos de Ferreira last time out, Duarte now has six goals and two assists to his name and we expect the 26-year-old to spearhead the attack once again.

Tondela possible starting lineup:
Trigueira; Manu, Alves, Sagnam; Borges, Augusto, Undabarrena, Bebeto; Barbosa, Agra, Dadashov

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Soares, Borevkovic, Mumin, Maga; Esteves, Almeida, Bamba; Lameiras, Rochinha, Catamo


SM words green background

We say: Tondela 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes are making a late charge for a place in Europe next season and will fancy their chances against a Tondela side who have struggled for form at home this season. Os Vimaranenses have won each of their last two away games and we predict they will keep this run going and come away with all three points on Sunday, albeit by the odd goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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