Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
