Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
