Swiss Super League | Gameweek 24

Feb 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Stade de Geneve

Servette
2 - 1
Lugano

Stevanovic (83'), Bolla (89' pen.)
Mazikou (60'), Bronn (78'), Magnin (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mahmoud (11')
Mahou (18'), Croci-Torti (19'), Sabbatini (43')
Grgic (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Servette and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Servette

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Servette 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Young Boys
Saturday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Servette in this match.

Result
Servette	Draw	Lugano
53.5% ( -1.14)	22.32% ( 0.83)	24.18% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 59.8% (

-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.25% (

-3.63)

39.75% (

3.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.9% (

-3.88)

62.1% (

3.87)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

-1.61)

14.9% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74% (

-3.14)

43.26% (

3.14)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

-1.74)

29.73% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

-2.17)

65.79% (

2.16)

Score Analysis

Servette 53.5%

Lugano 24.18%

Draw 22.31%

Servette	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.92) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.5%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.71) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.18%