Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.